CLINGING TO THE RIVERBANK
You may still be clinging to the riverbank, struggling like mad not to let go.
You may still not be prepared to plunge into the wild, terrifying and invigorating "white water" ride of Disclosure.
Nonetheless, just as we have been expecting, disclosure is happening now.
If you ever wondered about what disclosure would actually look like once it started happening, this is it.
As we are now seeing, it cannot be constrained into one single, all-defining moment where "everything happens".
We do not all wake up with a single, streamlined, easy-to-understand story that everyone believes... where all of a sudden the world has changed forever.
This is a massive, systematic, and total shift in what the average person knows, thinks and believes to be true -- on the most basic level.
It is an exciting opportunity to completely "start over" with the basic nature of civilization as we know it -- and build a much happier and healthier world.
THE REAL STORY IS MUCH BIGGER THAN WHAT WE ARE NOW SEEING
The amount of information that has been classified and hidden from us is so vast that it literally takes years of study just to understand the basics of it.
There may only be a few thousand people on earth -- if that -- who really know what the heck is going on.
The closest that most of us ever get to this world is in our imagination... as we watch various science fiction movies and TV shows that have systematically leaked -- and distorted -- the truth.
Even within the classified programs themselves, there is so much compartmentalization that very few workers with a security clearance ever get to see the Big Picture.
I have had extensive, personal access to at least four major insiders who DO see the Big Picture -- or at least a majority of it.
Each of them have worked at levels where most of the hidden information is common knowledge -- and they have access to many of the compartments.
Other insiders have revealed key facets of this astonishingly brilliant jewel.
The information is precious beyond belief -- as it has the power to utterly transform our world.
READ MORE HERE
Nothing...just yellow journalism...sensationalism.
ReplyDeleteHave all a nice, perfectly normal day and night.
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CARL SAGAN'S BALONEY DETECTION KIT
ReplyDeleteBased on the book The Demon Haunted World by Carl Sagan
The following are suggested as tools for testing arguments and detecting fallacious or fraudulent arguments:
o Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the facts
o Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
o Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no "authorities").
o Spin more than one hypothesis - don't simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy.
o Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours.
o Quantify, wherever possible.
o If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must work.
o "Occam's razor" - if there are two hypothesis that explain the data equally well choose the simpler.
o Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be falsified (shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other words, it is testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and get the same result?
Additional issues are
o Conduct control experiments - especially "double blind" experiments where the person taking measurements is not aware of the test and control subjects.
o Check for confounding factors - separate the variables.
Common fallacies of logic and rhetoric
o Ad hominem - attacking the arguer and not the argument.
o Argument from "authority".
o Argument from adverse consequences (putting pressure on the decision maker by pointing out dire consequences of an "unfavourable" decision).
o Appeal to ignorance (absence of evidence is not evidence of absence).
o Special pleading (typically referring to god's will).
o Begging the question (assuming an answer in the way the question is phrased).
o Observational selection (counting the hits and forgetting the misses).
o Statistics of small numbers (such as drawing conclusions from inadequate sample sizes).
o Misunderstanding the nature of statistics (President Eisenhower expressing astonishment and alarm on discovering that fully half of all Americans have below average intelligence!)
o Inconsistency (e.g. military expenditures based on worst case scenarios but scientific projections on environmental dangers thriftily ignored because they are not "proved").
o Non sequitur - "it does not follow" - the logic falls down.
o Post hoc, ergo propter hoc - "it happened after so it was caused by" - confusion of cause and effect.
o Meaningless question ("what happens when an irresistible force meets an immovable object?).
o Excluded middle - considering only the two extremes in a range of possibilities (making the "other side" look worse than it really is).
o Short-term v. long-term - a subset of excluded middle ("why pursue fundamental science when we have so huge a budget deficit?").
o Slippery slope - a subset of excluded middle - unwarranted extrapolation of the effects (give an inch and they will take a mile).
o Confusion of correlation and causation.
o Straw man - caricaturing (or stereotyping) a position to make it easier to attack..
o Suppressed evidence or half-truths.
o Weasel words - for example, use of euphemisms for war such as "police action" to get around limitations on Presidential powers. "An important art of politicians is to find new names for institutions which under old names have become odious to the public"
Above all - read the book!